[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Apr 24 07:08:18 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 240705
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240705 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-240830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0635
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NWRN KS...NERN CO...SWRN NEB.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 241...

VALID 240705Z - 240830Z

SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS PRIMARY LOW OVER SERN CO...SE OF STRONG
BARRIER-FLOW SURGE OF RELATIVELY COLD/STABLE SFC AIR.  FALLING
PRESSURES IN LEE-SIDE COLD SURGE INDICATE IT SHOULD WEAKEN OVER NEXT
FEW HOURS...HOWEVER ASSOCIATED BAROCLINICITY IS EVIDENT FROM SFC LOW
NNEWD INTO WEAKENING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OVER SWRN NEB. UPSTREAM 850
MB FLOW IS VEERING WITH EMPHASIS SHIFTING TOWARD MORE FAVORABLE
ASCENT FOR CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL NEB.  PER COORDINATION
W/LBF...CHASE/HAYES/FRONTIER COUNTIES ARE BEING CLEARED FROM WW. 
GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS AND DIMINISHING PROBABILITIES FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ELSEWHERE WITHIN ORIGINAL WW...REMAINING PORTIONS WW MAY
BE CANCELLED AND/OR ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 9Z.

..EDWARDS.. 04/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

39409960 38950035 38780174 39040233 40350207 40850109
40799982 40479942 

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