[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 22 07:30:47 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 220728
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220728 
GAZ000-ALZ000-220830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0611
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT SAT APR 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS ERN AL...GA.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 235...

VALID 220728Z - 220830Z

WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 8Z.  MRGL/ISOLATED
SEVERE HAIL OR STRONG GUSTS CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE MAY STILL OCCUR
FROM MOST VIGOROUS CONVECTION IN COMPLEX MOVING EWD FROM SERN AL
OVER SRN GA.  HOWEVER ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK DOES NOT APPEAR GREAT
ENOUGH TO WARRANT ADDITIONAL WW ATTM.  HOWEVER...EXPECT INCREASE IN
POTENTIAL FOR GEN TSTMS OVER SRN GA NEXT FEW HOURS...AS PORTIONS OF
TSTM COMPLEX NOW OVER SERN AL AND FL PANHANDLE MOVE ENEWD.  CYCLONIC
TURNING IN REFLECTIVITY ANIMATIONS INDICATES EMBEDDED MCV MOVING
ENEWD 30-35 KT OVER AREA BETWEEN AUO-DHN AS OF 715Z...WHICH MAY
ENHANCE INSTABILITY ALOFT...IN COMBINATION WITH
WEAK/AMBIENT/MIDLEVEL ASCENT AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH...INDICATED
IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY INVOF MS/AL BORDER.  THIS MAY RESULT IN
MUCAPES UP TO AROUND 1200 J/KG.  FOREGOING BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD
CONTINUE TO COOL DIABATICALLY...ROOTING STRONGEST BUOYANCY ABOVE SFC
INVOF MOIST/SWLY LLJ.

..EDWARDS.. 04/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

31048581 31628608 32078604 32778491 32828364 32108278
31248317 31068414 

WWWW