[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 182350
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182349 
WIZ000-MNZ000-190215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/ERN MN...EXTREME WRN WI.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 182349Z - 190215Z

BAND OF SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD MAINTAIN RISK FOR OCNL/MRGL SEVERE
HAIL AS IT MOVES NWD TO NNEWD ACROSS MN AND PERHAPS WRN TIER WI
COUNTIES N RST. WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING FROM S-CENTRAL SD
CYCLONE SEWD ACROSS PIPESTONE COUNTY MN...INTO W-CENTRAL IA. 
ELEVATED BAND OF LIFT HAS CONTRIBUTED TO TSTM DEVELOPMENT PARALLEL
TO AND ABOUT 100 NM NE OF SFC FRONT.  MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY AS OF
WAS LOCATED FROM MEEKER-WASECA COUNTIES...HOWEVER INTENSIFICATION 
IS POSSIBLE SEWD TOWARD RST AREA AND SOMEWHAT NWWD TOWARD
DOUGLAS/TODD COUNTIES. VWP/PROFILER DATA SHOWS ROUGHLY 40 KT SELY
LLJ AROUND 850 MB LEVEL OVER THIS REGION.  ELEVATED WAA/MOIST
ADVECTION INTO AREA N AND E OF CONVECTIVE BAND WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED
MUCAPES ROUGHLY 1000 J/KG...WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8-9
DEG C/KM.

..EDWARDS.. 04/18/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...FGF...

43519290 44899433 45519515 45809529 46969503 46599366
45989279 45589248 44849210 

WWWW