[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Apr 16 20:52:59 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 162051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162050 
INZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-162215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0530
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CDT SUN APR 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEAST IL AND FAR SOUTHERN WI/FAR
NORTHERN INDIANA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 194...

VALID 162050Z - 162215Z

VALID PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 194 CONTINUES UNTIL
00Z...WITH PRIMARY HAZARD OF LARGE HAIL.

WELL NORTH OF WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL IL/CENTRAL INDIANA...PRIMARY
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL CONTINUES THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL/NORTHEAST IL INTO FAR SOUTHERN WI/FAR NORTHERN INDIANA.
AHEAD OF STACKED LOW OVER SOUTHEAST IA...AMPLE ELEVATED INSTABILITY
ABOVE COOL BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT UPDRAFTS CAPABLE
OF LARGE HAIL...WITH MUCAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF WW 194
PER RUC SOUNDINGS. HOWEVER...MODEST EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND
TENDENCY FOR STORMS TO CLUSTER MAY TEMPER VIGOROUS
DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY WITH NORTH/NORTHWEST EXTENT ACROSS WW 194.

..GUYER.. 04/16/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...MKX...DVN...

42629006 42708828 41678640 41328647 41458771 41618906
41818960 

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