[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 15 03:40:45 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 150339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150338 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-150515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0506
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1038 PM CDT FRI APR 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL-SERN IND/SWRN OH/NRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 187...188...

VALID 150338Z - 150515Z

SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL/SERN IND INTO
PARTS OF CINCINNATI METRO AREA THROUGH 05Z.  THEREAFTER...
STABILIZING AIR MASS IN WAKE OF ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN OH
SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE THREAT FARTHER SEWD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OH AND
THE REST OF NRN KY.

LATE EVENING SURFACE MESO-ANALYSIS INDICATED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDED FROM WEST CENTRAL IND /WARREN AND FOUNTAIN COUNTIES/ SEWD
ACROSS FAR NRN KY /JUST S OF CVG/ AND THEN ESEWD INTO NERN KY TO
CENTRAL WV.  SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN OH
HAVE CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED/STABILIZED THE AIR MASS ALONG/N OF THIS
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  50 KT WSWLY LLJ LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER OH
VALLEY SHOULD AID IN MAINTAINING DESTABILIZATION/SHEAR TO SUPPORT
ONGOING CENTRAL/SERN IND STORM CLUSTERS AS THIS ACTIVITY REACHES THE
CINCINNATI METRO AREA BETWEEN 04-05Z.  DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL
SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THIS ACTIVITY WITH AN ISOLATED
TORNADO STILL POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS INTERACTING WITH THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN ENHANCED.

..PETERS.. 04/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

38938684 39818675 40478590 40388455 39758276 38298321
38358481 38748564 38678674 

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