[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Apr 9 22:42:50 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 092241
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092241 
FLZ000-092315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0481
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0541 PM CDT SUN APR 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FLORIDA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 177...

VALID 092241Z - 092315Z

WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 23Z.

STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING...ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK IMPULSE EMBEDDED 
WITHIN BROADER SCALE UPPER TROUGHING WHICH ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...APPEARS TO BE
SHIFTING EAST OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.  LINGERING
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR SYNOPTIC FRONT...SOUTH OF VERO
BEACH/TAMPA...REMAINS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. 
HOWEVER...COOLING/DRYING OF BOUNDARY LAYER HAS ALREADY OCCURRED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA...AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE NIGHTFALL SEEMS LIMITED IN SHEAR REGIME
ONLY MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF UPDRAFT ROTATION.

..KERR.. 04/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...EYW...TBW...

27058243 27288198 27508112 27608026 27757984 27137948
25807972 24758014 24218150 23878170 23548178 23608296
24178316 24818311 25028206 25218153 25588185 26088226
26498254 26658252 

WWWW