[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions Mcd at goshenarc.org
Sat Apr 8 21:35:39 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 082134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082134 
NCZ000-082300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0477
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0434 PM CDT SAT APR 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN NC AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 175...

VALID 082134Z - 082300Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST ALONG
THE ERN NC OUTER BANKS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS WW
175.

STORMS OVER ERN NC HAVE CONSOLIDATED INTO A LINEAR CLUSTER FROM
AROUND NCA TO FFA. THIS LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE
OUTER BANKS AND OFFSHORE. 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND 70KT PER MHX
VAD PROFILER MAY STILL SUPPORT STRONG WINDS BUT INCREASING BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZATION WILL DIMINISH THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT. FURTHER
SOUTH...ADDITIONAL DISCRETE DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH
MUCAPES ON THE ORDER OF AROUND 1000 J/KG. COMBINED WITH THE STRONG
SHEAR...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL WILL STILL EXIST FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG THE OUTER BANKS.

..GRAMS.. 04/08/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...

33977796 34487760 35177699 35737619 36047577 36097536
35627511 35247523 35017546 34347654 34027733 33467798
33437840 33677853 

WWWW





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