[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 8 13:38:40 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 081337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081337 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-081530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0472
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0837 AM CDT SAT APR 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL...WRN AND CNTRL FL PANHANDLE THROUGH SRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 081337Z - 081530Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
NEXT FEW HOURS FROM SRN AL...SRN GA AND INTO THE WRN FL PANHANDLE
AND SUBSEQUENTLY SPREAD EWD. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY ALSO OCCUR. TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

EARLY THIS MORNING A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE
CAROLINAS SWWD THROUGH CNTRL GA AND FARTHER SWWD THROUGH SRN AL. THE
WARM SECTOR S OF THIS BOUNDARY IS MOIST WITH BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S. THE ATMOSPHERE IS ALREADY MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000 J/KG AND FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR AS HEATING COMMENCES. STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. A WSWLY 40
KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL PERSIST IN THIS REGION WITHIN A ZONE OF HEIGHT
FALLS DOWNSTREAM FROM A SEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50 KT AND FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES CAPABLE PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.

..DIAL.. 04/08/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

31288694 32178536 32458282 31778238 30678317 29828496
30508607 30388752 

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