[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Apr 7 00:08:34 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 070007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070007 
TXZ000-OKZ000-070130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0446
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0707 PM CDT THU APR 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL THROUGH SCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 156...

VALID 070007Z - 070130Z

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS PACIFIC COLD FRONT/DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM
LUD/SEP/DRT. AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY...SVR TSTM HAS DEVELOPED OVER
BURNET COUNTY...WITH A STRONG MID LEVEL CORE AND WITHIN A STRONGLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS FIELD
EXTENDING SWD TO DRT. MODERATE INSTABILITY AXIS SHOWS MLCAPE RANGING
FROM 1500-2000 J/KG WITHIN AIRMASS WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE STILL IN THE
60S. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS STRONGEST FORCING IS FOCUSED
FARTHER NORTH...SO ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLD.
HOWEVER...ANY SUSTAINED STORMS THAT FORM WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE
WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS.

..TAYLOR.. 04/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

30199683 30379848 31379861 33979708 33789457 30709622 

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