[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Apr 5 16:55:15 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 051654
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051653 
WYZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-AZZ000-UTZ000-IDZ000-051900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT WED APR 05 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN UT/WRN CO AND SW WY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 051653Z - 051900Z

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
ACROSS WRN CO...ERN UT AND SWRN WY. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL
HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE. A WW WILL LIKELY
BECOME NECESSARY BY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE WEST COAST
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WITH A DRY SLOT AND BAND OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT DRIFTING ENEWD ACROSS THE REGION. A LINE OF STORMS IS ONGOING
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF ASCENT AND ADDITIONAL STORMS SHOULD
DEVELOP ACROSS ERN UT OVER THE NEXT HOUR AS SFC TEMPS WARM TO NEAR
70 F AND ASCENT INCREASES IN THE NOSE OF A 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON SHOW VERY STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTING
SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE. IN ADDITION...SFC
TEMP-DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS WILL EXCEED 30 DEGREES F ENHANCING THE
WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 04/05/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...CYS...ABQ...RIW...GJT...FGZ...SLC...PIH...

36770798 36740897 37400978 38851007 40951077 41831106
42231108 42741046 42950907 42490809 41200763 40080736
38740711 38670697 37530713 37060743 

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