[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Apr 3 05:40:52 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 030539
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030539 
ALZ000-030715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0413
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CDT MON APR 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 030539Z - 030715Z

SEVERE TSTM RISK WILL INCREASE ACROSS NRN AL AFTER 07Z.  A WW WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

A BAND OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF WRN/MIDDLE
TN AND EXTREME NRN MS EARLY THIS MORNING.  EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE
WERE SEVERAL SUPERCELLS WITH LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS.  THE PORTION OF
THE LINE ACROSS NRN MS IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NWRN TIP OF AL BY
07Z.  

FORECAST RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE AIR MASS ACROSS NRN AL WILL
DESTABILIZE GRADUALLY AHEAD OF THE STORMS AND SHOULD SUPPORT
SFC-BASED STORMS.  HTX HODOGRAPH SHOWS 40+ KT SFC-1KM SHEAR DESPITE
A VEERED FLOW REGIME.  ALONG WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH HAIL.  

GIVEN INCREASING RISK FOR SEVERE...A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY
07Z FOR NRN AL.

..RACY.. 04/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...

34888796 34878569 33788549 33808811 

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