[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Sun Apr 2 23:59:41 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 022359
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022358 
KYZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-030130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0409
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL...FAR NE AR...WRN TN AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134...

VALID 022358Z - 030130Z

A LINE OF SUPERCELLS ONGOING ACROSS SE MO AND NE AR WILL CONTINUE TO
HAVE A THREAT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BECOME NECESSARY EAST OF
THE CURRENT TORNADO WATCHES.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS WITH SFC DEWPOINTS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F EXTENDING NWD ACROSS WRN TN AND WRN KY.
THIS IS IN THE VICINITY OF A 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WHICH WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE THIS EVENING. THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG LIFT AND
VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE NOSE OF A MID-LEVEL JET WILL
CONTINUE TO MAKE THE ENVIRONMENT VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND
TORNADOES. AS THE SUPERCELLS MOVE INTO THE LOW-LEVEL JET...LONG
TRACK SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR.
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE EWD INTO CNTRL TN AND CNTRL KY AS
THE SUPERCELLS TRACK EWD. LARGE HAIL...WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

..BROYLES.. 04/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

34928659 35029019 35319072 36359013 37808890 37868570
36978497 

35858896 35968989 36289005 36438974 36168848 35848859 

WWWW





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