[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Apr 2 01:53:50 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020153
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020153 
TXZ000-020330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0397
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 020153Z - 020330Z

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SWRN/CNTRL TX...

CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY INCREASED OVER SWRN TX ALONG DRY LINE FROM
ERN PECOS COUNTY INTO REAGAN COUNTY.  DRT SOUNDING AT 00Z WAS NOT
TERRIBLY CAPPED WITH WEAK MID LEVEL CAA NOTED AROUND 700MB.  IT
APPEARS SRN END OF PLAINS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CNTRL TX AIDING THIS CONVECTION IN THE SHORT TERM. 
ALTHOUGH FWD SOUNDING EXHIBITED QUITE A BIT MORE INHIBITION...SHEAR
PROFILES SEEM FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING SQUALL LINE STRUCTURE AS IT
SPREADS ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED IF TRENDS CONTINUE.

..DARROW.. 04/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...

30700178 31520103 32200013 31669901 30630096 

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