[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 012022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012021 
TXZ000-012145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0391
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WEST CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 012021Z - 012145Z

WE ARE MONITORING THE DRYLINE SOUTH OF LBB FOR DEVELOPMENT. AN
ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE REQUIRED NEXT HOUR OR SO.

AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE E OF DRYLINE WITH TEMPERATURES
RISING INTO THE LOWER 80S. MODIFIED 18Z MIDLAND SOUNDING YIELDS
STRONG INSTABILITY USING LOWER 60S DEWPOINT WITH LITTLE INHIBITION.
ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS STRONG FARTHER E AS SEEN ON OUN
AND FWD SOUNDINGS...APPROACHING TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO COOL
TEMPERATURES WITHIN CAPPING LAYER AND REDUCE CIN. GIVEN A FEW MORE
HOURS OF HEATING...AND INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG DRYLINE...AT
LEAST ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY. EXISTING SHEAR PROFILES
AT 20Z ALREADY FAVOR SUPERCELLS AND WILL ONLY INCREASE WITH TIME AS
LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS. THUS...VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER NRN PARTS OF DISCUSSION AREA.

..JEWELL.. 04/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

33820150 33799906 32549891 31869885 31660123 32350131
33190139 

WWWW