[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 1 02:27:54 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 010227
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010226 
INZ000-KYZ000-010330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0826 PM CST FRI MAR 31 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IND THROUGH NRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 118...

VALID 010226Z - 010330Z

TORNADO WATCH 118 WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z. SEVERE
THREAT MAY PERSIST A COUPLE HOURS BEYOND 03Z FOR A FEW COUNTIES IN
SRN IND AND NRN KY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED LATER
THIS EVENING.

SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM WRN KY INTO SRN IND. THE LINE IS MOVING
SEWD AT AROUND 20 KT. TREND HAS BEEN FOR STRONGER STORMS TO PERSIST
ON THE SRN END OF THE LINE ACROSS SRN IND IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
FEED OF HIGHER INSTABILITY WITH SBCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG. VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES
WITHIN THE LINE. HOWEVER...AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO COOL
AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS...STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO UNDERGO A
GRADUAL DECREASE AFTER ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS.

..DIAL.. 04/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...PAH...

38538505 37918583 37668708 38298729 38588627 38888527 

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