[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Apr 24 12:34:56 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 241232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241232 
KSZ000-OKZ000-241400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0636
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS N-CENTRAL/NERN OK...S-CENTRAL/SERN KS.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 241232Z - 241400Z

LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL HAS INCREASED ONCE AGAIN ACROSS KS/OK BORDER
REGION...AND MAY PROPAGATE SWD TOWARD I-35 CORRIDOR N OF OKC GIVEN
CONVECTIVE TRENDS.  AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM NEAR FSM WNWWD
THROUGH LOGAN...KINGFISHER...WOODWARD COUNTIES OK...DRIFTING NWD W
OF I-35.  REINFORCING OUTFLOW AIR EXTENDS FROM NERN OK/NWRN AR
CONVECTION WNWWD ACROSS PORTIONS SRN OSAGE COUNTY TO GRANT
COUNTY...WITH WHICH ONE STORM IS INTERACTING AND SHOWING SOME
EVIDENCE OF ROTATION ALOFT.  OTHER TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED RAPIDLY FROM
ICT AREA SSWWD THROUGH KINGFISHER COUNTY OK.  IR IMAGERY AND
REFLECTIVITY DATA INDICATE LINE MAY SOLIDIFY SSWWD INTO CANADIAN
COUNTY.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS N-CENTRAL
OK AND S-CENTRAL KS...WITH FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR
STORM ROTATION AND ENHANCED LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.  35-50 KT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS EVIDENT...DEPENDING ON CHOSEN LIFTED LAYER...WITH
PARCELS LIKELY ROOTED AROUND 850 MB.  FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT OF ELEVATED WAA AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 9
DEG C/KM...YIELDS ELEVATED MUCAPES 1500-2500 J/KG...BASED ON
MODIFIED RAOB DATA AND RUC FCST SOUNDINGS.

..EDWARDS.. 04/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

35879803 36689762 37499742 38029749 38249658 38249602
38109526 37769501 36829516 35599656 35689766 

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