[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 22 23:26:02 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 222323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222323 
TXZ000-NMZ000-230130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0621
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0623 PM CDT SAT APR 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN NM/WEST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 238...

VALID 222323Z - 230130Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 238 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST NM/SOUTHWEST TX. MONITORING FOR AN ADDITIONAL WATCH
ISSUANCE TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST OF WW 238 INTO WEST/NORTHWEST TX.

AS OF 2315Z...SCATTERED STRONG STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NM -- NAMELY ALONG HIGHWAY 285 CORRIDOR FROM
SOUTHWEST OF TUCUMCARI TO NEAR ROSWELL/LOVINGTON -- INTO THE PECOS
VALLEY/BIG BEND AREA OF SOUTHWEST TX. STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD INTO FAR WEST/NORTHWEST TX THROUGH MID
EVENING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INFLUX VIA SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS
IS TENDING TO OFFSET VERTICAL MIXING...WITH PERSISTENCE OF
LOWER/MIDDLE 50S F DEWPOINTS AS FAR NORTH AS THE LUBBOCK AREA PER
THE WEST TX MESONET. 

LATEST TUCUMCARI PROFILER DATA SUPPORTS EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 35-40
KTS...FAVORABLE FOR WELL ORGANIZED CLUSTERS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS.
WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...ONE OR MORE MCS
CLUSTERS MAY EVOLVE INTO FAR WEST/NORTHWEST TX...WITH COLD POOL
GENERATION/INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET POSSIBLY SUPPORTING
SOME DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL.

..GUYER.. 04/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

33780452 35370380 35580247 34880162 33490139 30940263
30580415 32180452 

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