[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions Mcd at goshenarc.org
Sat Apr 22 22:01:17 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 222158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222158 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-230000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0620
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CDT SAT APR 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA...ERN NC/SC....ERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 222158Z - 230000Z

...NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY PLANNED FOR THE AREA...

SEVERAL LINES/CLUSTERS OF STRONG STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO POSE A
MARGINAL HAIL/WIND THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SERN VA...ERN
NC AND SC...AND ERN GA FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS. HOWEVER...LATEST
DIAGNOSTIC DATA SUGGESTS MOIST/MARGINAL LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE
REGION AFTER SEVERAL HOURS OF DEEP CONVECTION. WHILE A FEW POCKETS
OF STRONGER INSTABILITY AND MODEST DEEP-LAYER FLOW PERSIST...
DIMINISHING DIURNAL AND LARGE SCALE FORCING SHOULD RESULT IN A
GRADUAL DECLINE IN STORM ORGANIZATION/INTENSITY. A FEW WEAKLY
ORGANIZED MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS REMAIN ONGOING WITH ATTENDANT
THREAT OF SMALL HAIL...AND PERHAPS ONE OR TWO STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...BUT A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY AT
THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 04/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

32128084 31558289 33638080 34628004 35957914 36157822
36017727 35697697 34927671 33897796 33467905 32518033 

WWWW





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