[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 15 21:50:46 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 152148
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152148 
OKZ000-TXZ000-152315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0515
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0448 PM CDT SAT APR 15 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL OK/FAR NORTH CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 152148Z - 152315Z

MONITORING FOR HIGHLY CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT ACROSS
CENTRAL OK INTO FAR NORTH CENTRAL TX LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING. A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MONITORING EVOLUTION OF POCKETS OF HIGH BASED BOUNDARY LAYER CU IN
VICINITY OF DRYLINE ACROSS CENTRAL OK INTO NORTH CENTRAL TX. LATEST
ANALYSIS/OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS FEATURES STRONG MIXING/WEAKENING
SURFACE BASED CINH -- WITH TEMPERATURES OVER 100F IN SOUTHWEST OK --
AND AMPLE MASS CONVERGENCE INVOF DRYLINE FROM WEST OF THE OKC METRO
AREA TO NEAR DUNCAN OK AND EAST OF WICHITA FALLS TX. IN THIS
CORRIDOR...VIA DEEP MIXING/GLANCING UPPER SUPPORT...SOME POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR A STORM OR TWO TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL OK/NORTH CENTRAL TX. CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL
WOULD EXIST FOR LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

..GUYER.. 04/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...

35909754 36239665 35749615 34009656 33429750 33949844 

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