[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 061603
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061603 
ARZ000-MOZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-061800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0436
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT THU APR 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK/SW MO/WRN AR/ERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061603Z - 061800Z

...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD SEVERE STORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTN FROM ECNTRL
OK SWD TO PARTS OF ERN TX...AND EWD INTO AR...

ELEVATED TSTMS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ACROSS ECNTRL OK...WITH LATEST
TULSA OK RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTING INTENSE MID LEVEL CORES. LATEST WV
IMAGERY INDICATES AN IMPULSE NOW MOVING ACROSS CNTRL KS/OK...AND
THIS IS LIKELY AGITATING THE STORMS. IN ADDITION...LARGE SCALE
ASCENT IS BEING AUGMENTED BY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. 12Z SOUNDING FROM
NORMAN OK SHOWED AROUND 1700 J/KG MUCAPE...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER
CAPE EVIDENT ON THE 12Z SPRINGFIELD MO SOUNDING. SPECIAL 15Z
SOUNDING FROM SPRINGFIELD SUGGESTS STORMS ARE ROOTED NEAR 700MB.
STORMS ARE FORMING WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
/AROUND 40 KT/ AND MODERATE ELEVATED INSTABILITY. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING SWD...WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM
LARGE HAIL.

..TAYLOR.. 04/06/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...HGX...ICT...FWD...OUN...

33039395 30769505 30649667 33689707 36159641 37239475
37299338 36099266 33919325 

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