[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 041831
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041831 
FLZ000-042030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CDT TUE APR 04 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 041831Z - 042030Z

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A SFC
BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTRL FL. THE STRONGER CELLS WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL
FOR HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT EXTENDING EWD
FROM TAMPA BAY ACROSS THE CNTRL PENINSULA. SFC DEWPOINTS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY ARE IN THE MID 60S F AND MODERATE INSTABILITY
HAS DEVELOPED DUE TO MOST CLEAR SKIES. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A SEA
BREEZE FRONT MOVING INLAND ACROSS ERN FL AND NEW STORMS SHOULD
INITIATE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE-COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTERSECTION AS
TEMPS CONTINUE TO WARM AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE CNTRL FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON SHOW A WEAK
TO MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES.
THIS SUGGESTS SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS WOULD BE FAVORED WITH A
POTENTIAL FOR HAIL. IN ADDITION...STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD RESULT IN A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 04/04/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

27248087 27018194 27128227 27528245 27868231 28138137
28138087 27488058 

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