[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Apr 4 01:17:41 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 040116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040116 
VAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-PAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-040245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0424
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0816 PM CDT MON APR 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MD/ERN VA/ERN NC/NERN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 148...

VALID 040116Z - 040245Z

LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS WW.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS LINE OF STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE DELMARVA REGION SSWWD INTO ERN NC. 
MEANWHILE...A SECOND CLUSTER OF STORMS CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS
COASTAL PORTIONS OF NC AND THE NERN SC COAST.

STORMS OVER E CENTRAL AND NERN VA CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD INTO
COOLER/MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...AS SELY SURFACE WINDS CONTINUE
TO ADVECT ATLANTIC AIR INLAND. THEREFORE...EXPECT STORMS TO WEAKEN
WITH TIME...WITH ONLY A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT LIKELY TO LINGER AS
STORMS MOVE OUT OF THE NERN CORNER OF WW 148 AND EVENTUALLY OFF THE
NJ/DE COASTS.

FURTHER S INTO SERN VA/ERN NC/NERN SC...POCKETS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY REMAIN.  WITH STRONGEST MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE ERN
CAROLINAS ATTM...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR LOCALLY
SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS.  THEREFORE...EXPECT SEVERE THREAT TO LINGER
FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS ERN NC WHERE STORMS
SHOULD REMAIN ONSHORE THE LONGEST.

..GOSS.. 04/04/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...CTP...LWX...RAH...ILM...CAE...

33637997 35267983 36727737 38267643 39737667 39737562
33677649 

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