[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Apr 3 02:28:06 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 030227
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030227 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-030400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0411
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0927 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN IN / CENTRAL AND NRN KY / OH / WRN WV

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 030227Z - 030400Z

INTENSE BOW ECHO CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD AT OVER 55 KTS ACROSS ERN
INDIANA INTO NRN KY. RADAR PRESENTATION CONTINUES TO SHOW REAR
INFLOW JET REFLECTION WITH LOW REFLECTIVITY HOLE JUST BEHIND MAIN
BOW...SUGGESTING INTENSE AND WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE IS LIKELY. SWLY
LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT UNSTABLE AIR NEWD INTO OH AND
WRN WV.  EXTRAPOLATION SHOWS BOW INTO CENTRAL OH BY 4Z. 

ADDITIONALLY...THREAT FOR TORNADOES CONTINUES GIVEN VERY STRONG
EXTREME SHEAR IN PLACE...WITH EITHER EMBEDDED ROTATION SIGNATURES
WITHIN LINE OR WITH WARM ADVECTION CELLS AHEAD OF LINE. GREATEST
TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE OVER KY IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO GREATER
INSTABILITY.

..JEWELL.. 04/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

39178558 40748636 41418590 41588362 41288267 39728204
37768291 37558607 

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