[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Sep 29 00:21:33 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 290020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290020 
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-290145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN OK/AR/SERN MO/FAR SRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 822...823...

VALID 290020Z - 290145Z

BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES MOVING ESEWD ACROSS
THE OZARKS REGION/ MID MS VALLEY.

LATEST RADAR SHOWS STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SERN CORNER OF WW 822
AND THE WRN HALF OF WW 823.  ADDITIONALLY...A BOW ECHO HAS EVOLVED
-- AND PRODUCED WIND DAMAGE N OF WW 823 ACROSS PARTS OF SERN MO/SRN
IL OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO.  HOWEVER...WITH THIS BOW NOW MOVING
INTO MORE STABLE AIRMASS OVER IL...EXPECT STORMS TO WEAKEN OVER THE
NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO.

IN THE MEAN TIME...500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE ACROSS AR AHEAD
OF ONGOING STORMS AND MODERATE DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD SUGGEST A
THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL UP TO 1" IN DIAMETER WILL
CONTINUE.

STORMS MOVING ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF WW 823/FAR SERN MO AND NERN AR
SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY APPROACH THE MS RIVER VALLEY IN THE NEXT HOUR
OR SO...AS AIRMASS STABILIZES WITH EWD EXTENT. HOWEVER...WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS...AND POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL
WW INTO FAR WRN KY/WRN TN.

..GOSS.. 09/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...

38258766 35288880 34009191 34159518 34999459 35359282
37599026 

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