[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Sat Sep 24 22:58:06 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 242257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242257 
NEZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-250030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2270
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0557 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SW NEB/ERN CO/WRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242257Z - 250030Z

...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD SVR TSTMS IS INCREASING INVOF OF LEE
TROUGH...

TSTMS NOW QUICKLY DEVELOPING ALONG LEE TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM SFC
LOW PRESSURE NEAR MCK SWWD TO GLD/LAA. AIRMASS HAS BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S. STEEP LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED STORM DEVELOPMENT.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR NEAR 30 KT /PER MCCOOK NEB PROFILER/ WILL SUPPORT
VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. 

LARGE SCALE SUPPORT IS GREATER FARTHER NORTH ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NEB...AND THIS MAY BE AN OVERALL LIMITING FACTOR IN STORM
ORGANIZATION AND LONGEVITY. WILL MONITOR THE AREA FOR A POSSIBLE
WATCH.

..TAYLOR.. 09/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

37000195 36970343 37470377 40620152 41409961 41099912
39070009 37040132 

WWWW





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