[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140029 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-140230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2191
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS / WRN MO / NERN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 783...784...

VALID 140029Z - 140230Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES...ESPECIALLY OVER WW 784 AND WRN PORTIONS OF
WW 783. WHILE ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED...TORNADO
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS CELLS CONSOLIDATE AND OUTFLOWS
INTERFERE DESTRUCTIVELY. THIS IS ALREADY OCCURRING OVER ERN KS ALONG
COLD FRONT. FARTHER E...MORE ISOLATED CELLS PERSIST WHICH WILL HAVE
GREATEST POTENTIAL OF BOTH BRIEF TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE
HAIL...ALTHOUGH SGF SOUNDING SHOWS A RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER
WHICH SUGGESTS TORNADIC THREAT EXTREMELY LOW THAT FAR EAST. MAIN
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION...GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1.75" AND
VEERING LOW LEVEL JET WITH TIME...HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL INCREASE
ACROSS SERN KS AND SWRN MO WITH TRAINING CELLS...WITH PROPAGATIONAL
COMPONENT NEARLY PARALLEL TO CURRENT LINE OF STORMS.

..JEWELL.. 09/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

36259848 37029842 37029750 37599668 38649607 38639509
39349133 37169140 36459505 36289518 36219848 

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