[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 032211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032211 
WIZ000-MNZ000-032315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0511 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MN...WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 764...

VALID 032211Z - 032315Z

SEVERE TSTMS WILL CROSS PARTS OF LE SUEUR...SCOTT...RICE...AND
DAKOTA COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT HOUR AS MATURE MCS MOVES SEWD AT 40KT.
RECENT DOWNWARD TREND IN VIL INTENSITY MAY BE OCCURRING ACROSS SERN
MN WHERE STORM COMPLEX IS BEGINNING TO OUTRUN STRONGER INFLOW ACROSS
WCNTRL MN. WHILE THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE...IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT
DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND PERHAPS HAIL WILL SPREAD OUT OF SERN
PARTS OF WW 764 BEFORE 2330Z. AREAS OF SERN MN/WRN WI WILL CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WATCH IF IT APPEARS THAT ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THESE AREAS THIS EVENING.

AREAS ALONG THE WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE
MCS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO. CU WERE BUILDING ACROSS SWRN MN AND ANY STORMS DEVELOPING IN
THIS REGION COULD QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF
FORCING...SHEAR...AND INSTABILITY.

..CARBIN.. 09/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

43889304 44759626 46479629 45519291 45419267 

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