[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Oct 7 16:10:30 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 071609
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071609 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-071815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2325
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT FRI OCT 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 071609Z - 071815Z

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS...WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED...

LONG-LIVED UPPER VORT...POSSIBLY CONVECTIVELY INDUCED...HAS LIFTED
TO A POSITION NEAR THE SC/GA COAST.  CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY
DEEPENED AND INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO NEAR THIS WEAK
CIRCULATION.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE VERY HIGH ACROSS THIS
REGION...IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES...HENCE LAPSE RATES ARE WEAK...BUT
SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY SHEARED AHEAD OF THIS NNEWD EJECTING
FEATURE.  PARTIAL HEATING WILL BE INSTRUMENTAL IN ADDITIONAL TSTM
DEVELOPMENT.  SHEAR PROFILES APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF POSSIBLE SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..DARROW.. 10/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

32168180 33728089 35547880 34607655 31348014 

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