[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300305 
TXZ000-300400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1063
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 349...

VALID 300305Z - 300400Z

WIDESPREAD DEEP AND INTENSE CONVECTION HAS LIKELY OVERTURNED A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THE TX COASTAL
PLAIN THIS EVENING. NONETHELESS...A FEW INTENSE CELLS/CLUSTERS
REMAIN ACTIVE ACROSS PARTS OF TORNADO WATCH 349.

ONE PARTICULARLY LARGE AREA OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS SHOWN SIGNS
OF ACCELERATING OVER FORT BEND AND BRAZORIA COUNTIES RECENTLY. WIND
DAMAGE POTENTIAL MAY EXIST WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
HOU AREA AT OVER 45KT THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR.

ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS WAS SHOWING A TENDENCY TO BOW AND
ACCELERATE OVER DUVAL COUNTY IN THE SWRN CORNER OF THE WATCH.

YET ANOTHER AREA OF INCREASING CONVECTION WAS ACROSS HAYS AND TRAVIS
COUNTIES IN THE NRN PART OF THE WATCH. THESE CELLS MAY MOVE INTO
BASTROP COUNTY IN THE NEXT HOUR.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS....ALL THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE A THEAT OF LARGE HAIL. TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE
DECREASING BUT STORM/BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS COULD STILL PRODUCE LOCAL
AREAS OF ENHANCED POTENTIAL.

MOST OF THE WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL EXPIRATION AT 04Z. A
NEW WATCH MAY BE CONSIDERED IF STORMS REMAIN INTENSE...OR ACTIVITY
INCREASES OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

..CARBIN.. 05/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

27359931 29140027 30439763 31429540 29619436 

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