[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300045
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300045 
TXZ000-300215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1061
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 351...

VALID 300045Z - 300215Z

TSTMS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP/INTENSIFY ACROSS TSTM WATCH 351 THIS
EVENING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...WATCH MAY BE CANCELED EARLY.

ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXISTS WITHIN THE WATCH AT THIS TIME WITH
MUCH MORE INTENSE CONVECTION OCCURRING TO THE SOUTH WITHIN TORNADO
WATCH 349. DESPITE FAVORABLE SUPPORT FOR ASCENT FROM MID LEVEL
TROUGH AND MODEST INSTABILITY...WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND ONSET
OF DIURNAL COOLING APPEAR TO BE LIMITING TSTM POTENTIAL OVER THE
AREA. HOWEVER...APPARENT LEFT-MOVING CELL NOW MOVING ACROSS GRIMES
COUNTY IN TORNADO WATCH 349 MAY MOVE INTO ERN PARTS OF WATCH 351...
AROUND LEON COUNTY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING
WEST FROM THIS CELL WAS ALSO MOVING NWD INTO SRN SECTIONS OF THE
WATCH AND COULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IN
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. NRN COUNTIES IN THE WATCH MAY BEGIN TO BE
CLEARED IN THE NEXT STATUS MESSAGE.

..CARBIN.. 05/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

31059541 30139859 31369857 32229551 

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