[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 292141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292140 
TXZ000-292315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1058
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 292140Z - 292315Z

STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE HILL COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. A SEVERE TSTM WATCH
MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY.

BROAD UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD POOL AND ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO
PROMOTE DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY THIS EVENING. STORMS
ARE INCREASING ALONG WEAK SFC TROUGH AXIS FROM BROWN AND SAN SABA
COUNTIES THROUGH MCCULLOCH COUNTY. THE TROUGH APPEARS TO INTERSECT A
WEAK STATIONARY/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM KERR COUNTY NEWD TO BURNET
COUNTY WHERE ADDITIONAL STRONG TSTM CELLS ARE NOW DEVELOPING. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS WEAK ON THE NRN EDGE OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW
ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAIN. HOWEVER...VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AND WEAK CAP WILL FUEL ADDITIONAL INTENSE MULTICELL CONVECTION
NEAR THE BOUNDARIES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. GREATEST THREAT FROM
THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF DOWNBURST WINDS. A WATCH
MAY BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

..CARBIN.. 05/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

29929902 29559987 30969970 32129841 32599602 31489565 

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