[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 252157
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252156 
TXZ000-252330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1010
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EAST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332...

VALID 252156Z - 252330Z

A BOWED LINE OF SEVERE STORMS CURRENTLY OVER EAST TX WILL CONTINUE
TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE LINE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE SEWD PART OF WW 332 OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING SEWD FROM FAR
NE TX ACROSS WRN AND SRN LA. A MOIST AXIS EXISTS ACROSS EAST TX
WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM 68 TO 72 DEGREE F. THE LINE OF
CONVECTION IS MOVING SEWD DOWN THIS MOIST AXIS AND THE RELATIVELY
HIGH DEWPOINTS SHOULD FUEL THE LINE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK MID-LEVEL JET IN NE TX AND PROFILERS
SHOW ABOUT 35 KT OF FLOW AT 6 KM ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SPEED MAX. AS
THE JET CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD...SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING. AS THE LINE MOVES SEWD
TOWARD THE SE EDGE OF WW 332...A NEW WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN
SE TX AND ACROSS PARTS OF SW LA LATER THIS EVENING.

..BROYLES.. 05/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

31279644 31679603 31969518 32029462 31469419 31039400
30559425 30259513 30199579 31049635 

WWWW