[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 251251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251251 
OKZ000-TXZ000-251415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN OK INTO WRN N TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 251251Z - 251415Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH ONGOING ELEVATED
TSTMS AS THEY SHIFT SEWD ACROSS SWRN OK INTO NWRN TX THIS MORNING.
CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

CLUSTER OF ELEVATED TSTMS HAVE PERSISTED THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TX PNHDL INTO WRN OK...LARGELY BEING DRIVEN BY LOW-LEVEL WAA
PER CURRENT FDR VWP. 12Z AMA...OUN AND FWD SOUNDINGS ALL INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESULTANT MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH MUCAPES OF 1500-2500 J/KG. GIVEN EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR OF 35-40 KTS ACROSS INSTABILITY AXIS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO CAPABLE OF MAINLY LARGE HAIL.

..MEAD.. 05/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

35360059 35899959 35409839 33909752 33169774 33039881
33399949 33830007 34550059 

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