[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 210338
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210337 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-210500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0944
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1037 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE LA/MS/AL/SW GA/FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 302...304...306...

VALID 210337Z - 210500Z

SEVERE WW 302 IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 04Z...AND THIS LOOKS REASONABLE
BASED ON RECENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS. SEVERE WW 304 IS IN EFFECT ONLY
FOR PORTIONS OF SW MS...AND AS SOON AS THESE STORMS HAVE MOVED SOUTH
OF THE WW...THIS WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY.

RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGEST STORMS HAVE BEEN GENERALLY WEAKENING
OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS. STORMS CURRENTLY IN SW MS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE INTO SRN LA...BUT THERE IS SOME DOUBT AS TO WHETHER THEY
WILL BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN A SEVERE THREAT. A NEW WW IS NOT BEING
PLANNED DOWNSTREAM.

FARTHER EAST...STORMS FORMING IN SE AL ARE LIKELY DEVELOPING ATOP
THE COLD POOL...SO THIS BACKBUILDING IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRESENT A
SEVERE THREAT. FORWARD PROPAGATION IS MOST PROMINENT ACROSS SRN
GA...WHERE THE COLD POOL IS MORE DEVELOPED. HOWEVER THE MOST INTENSE
PART OF THE MCS IS MOVING OFFSHORE.

..TAYLOR.. 05/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...

30188303 31549138 32339092 31548469 31488307 30428297 

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