[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 301646
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301646 
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-301845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0431
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1046 AM CST WED MAR 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MO...ERN IA...NWRN IL AND SWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 301646Z - 301845Z

A WW WILL ISSUED SOON FOR THE AREA.

MODIFIED RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR 16Z OBS OVER THE REGION INDICATE
 LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION REMAINING. CONVECTION OVER NERN MO
CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND WILL DEVELOP SEWD ALONG THIS LINE WITH
TIME AS IT MOVES NEWD THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
 ADDITIONAL POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED STORMS AHEAD OF THE
MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE ALONG THE WARM FRONT. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND ALREADY WELL DEFINED LINEAR ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTION
MOVING ACROSS NERN MO SUGGESTS THAT DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES AS WELL.

..CROSBIE.. 03/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...

43108916 43249055 43479218 40319329 39728997