[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242301
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242301 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-250100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0379
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0501 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CENTRAL / NERN OK / SERN KS / SWRN MO / EXTREME
NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242301Z - 250100Z

SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND OCCASIONAL STRONG WINDS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP AROUND 00Z.  A WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

STORMS WILL FORM ALONG COLD FRONT THIS EVENING AS LAPSE RATES SFC
AND ALOFT INCREASE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY.  VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES
TCU INCREASING NEAR WATONGA OK WHICH WILL LIKELY INCREASE TOWARDS
THE NE. ADDITIONAL TCU CONTINUES TO DEVELOP NEAR ADA OK ON THE
DRYLINE. 

ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS ARE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50...THIS
WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE HAIL. MODIFIED 18Z LMN RAOB AND FCST
RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE ABOUT 1000-1500 J/KG MUCAPE WITH STRONG WIND
SHEAR PROFILES.  THUS...A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH
MAXIMUM HAIL SIZES NEARING GOLF-BALL.

..JEWELL.. 03/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

35669847 36709727 37239684 38069623 38299561 38279469
38299403 38289338 34659435 34439674 35629662 

WWWW