[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242224 
OKZ000-TXZ000-250030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0378
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0424 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...N CNTRL/NE TX...S CNTRL/SE OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242224Z - 250030Z

......RETRANSMITTED......

WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.

DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EVIDENT IN VISIBLE IMAGERY NORTH
NORTHWEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX...JUST TO THE SOUTH OF
THE RED RIVER. ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING JUST AHEAD OF
SURFACE DRY LINE...ON NOSE OF MORE STRONGLY HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S.  THIS IS ALSO JUST NORTH OF 50 TO
70 KT WESTERLY MID-LEVEL JET AXIS.

AS JET CORE CONTINUES EAST NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...FURTHER INTENSIFICATION APPEARS POSSIBLE. 
INFLOW OF LOWER/MID 50S DEW POINTS AHEAD OF DRY LINE MAY SUPPORT
DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER CAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG...BEFORE ONSET OF
SURFACE COOLING.  THUS...AT  LEAST BRIEF WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
APPEARS TO EXIST FOR THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL/
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.

..KERR.. 03/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...

33759770 34259714 34509653 34349588 33829545 33349608
32899667 32809734 32919804 33379767 

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