[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 222143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222143 
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-222345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MS INTO SERN LA / WRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 222143Z - 222345Z

ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL OR WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT WW IS NOT
EXPECTED.

18Z JAN SOUNDING SHOWS POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES DUE TO EARLIER MCS
PASSAGE...BUT STILL MODERATE INSTABILITY WHEN MODIFIED WITH
1000-1500 J/KG.  ALSO OF NOTE IS THE VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR PROFILES
IN PLACE WHICH WILL TEND TO OVERLY SHEAR THE UPDRAFTS. STORMS WILL
TEND TO BE ISOLATED DUE TO HIGH SHEAR / LOW CAPE AND A FEW MAY REACH
SEVERE CRITERIA THROUGH EVENING.

..JEWELL.. 03/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

33258953 33258855 33248767 30898819 30908892 30889119
31099118 31809041 32419023 

WWWW