[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 221937
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221937 
FLZ000-GAZ000-222100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0343
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 PM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA / NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 66...

VALID 221937Z - 222100Z

THREAT EXISTS FOR STRONG TORNADOES NEXT FEW HOURS OVER SRN GA AND
EXTREME NRN FL.  THREAT WILL INCREASE OVER SRN PORTIONS OF WW AS
WELL.

18Z TLH RAOB IS FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TORNADOES.  ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY
LAYER IS SOMEWHAT COOL...STRONGER SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY EXISTS
FARTHER E WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE UPPER 70S AND 80S.

HODOGRAPH IS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH 0-1 SRH  IN EXCESS
OF 200 M2/S2.  AREA VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW 200-300 0-1KM SRH VALUES
IN VICINITY OF WARM FRONT AS WELL.

SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES STRONG PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE ERN FL
PANHANDLE / NRN FL AND SRN GA. WITH LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENING AND
SHIFTING EWD...ADDITIONAL TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP OVER NRN
FL LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY AS WELL.

..JEWELL.. 03/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...

28828082 29108276 30108391 31908300 31888195 31548118
30898144 29968123 

WWWW