[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 301228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301227 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-301430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1551
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN LOWER MI...NRN IND THROUGH NWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 301227Z - 301430Z

CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...AND IF A GENERAL
INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS OBSERVED...A WW MIGHT BE NECESSARY WITHIN 
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THIS MORNING A PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM WRN LOWER MI
SWWD INTO NWRN IND. THE LINE IS MOVING EWD AT 25 TO 30 KT. STORMS
WITHIN THE LINE APPEAR TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED AND ARE EMBEDDED
WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY. DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LINE...BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70...AND LATEST VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE ATMOSPHERE TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR FROM ERN LOWER MI
INTO OH. THEREFORE FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING
THE MORNING...AND STORMS MIGHT UNDERGO SOME INTENSIFICATION. PRIMARY
THREAT WILL BE MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
AND POSSIBLY SOME HAIL.

..DIAL.. 06/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...

41438614 42528502 43528402 42928288 41218402 41008554 

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