[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 260015
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260015 
WYZ000-UTZ000-NVZ000-260215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1471
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0715 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NRN UT...PORTIONS SWRN WY...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 523...

VALID 260015Z - 260215Z

EXPECT WW WILL NOT BE REISSUED OR EXTENDED EWD INTO CO OR MORE OF
SRN WY...AND THAT REMAINING PORTIONS WW 523 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AS SCHEDULED.

BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS WITH HISTORY OF STRONG-SEVERE GUSTS -- EVIDENT
AT 00Z FROM SRN WASATCH RANGE SWD TOWARD LAKE POWELL REGION -- WILL
MOVE NEWD ACROSS ERN UT AND PERHAPS PORTIONS SWRN WY NEXT 2-3 HOURS.
 ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL DAMAGING WIND AND OCCASIONAL
HAIL...BUT DIMINISH AFTER 02Z WITH LOSS OF INFLOW-LAYER DIABATIC
HEATING.  ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THAT PRODUCED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
IN GRAND COUNTY UT -- BETWEEN 2337-2350Z -- WILL MOVE NEWD INTO
PORTIONS UINTAH COUNTY.  MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEEPLY
MIXED SUBCLOUD LAYERS OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH SBCAPES 500-1000
J/KG AND MLCAPES GENERALLY UNDER 500 J/KG...BUT SUFFICIENT
DEEP-LAYER FLOW TO MAINTAIN WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH DOWNWARD
MOMENTUM TRANSPORT IN MOST INTENSE CELLS.

..EDWARDS.. 06/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RIW...GJT...SLC...LKN...

38081399 41811416 41840917 38090911 

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