[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 141442
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141442 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-141645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1345
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0942 AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...IND...OH AND FAR NRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 141442Z - 141645Z

A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT HOUR ACROSS WRN
AND CNTRL IND. THE STRONGER CELLS IN THE LINE WILL LIKELY HAVE A
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE. A WW WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY ACROSS THE REGION.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-LOW OVER MN WITH STRONG
ASCENT SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. AS THE LEADING EDGE OF
ASCENT MOVES ACROSS WRN IND LATE THIS MORNING...A LINE OF STORMS
SHOULD INITIATE AND MOVE EWD ACROSS IND INTO WRN OH. SFC ANALYSIS
SHOWS A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NWD FROM WRN KY INTO IND WHERE 70+ SFC
DEWPOINTS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A 60 KT MID-LEVEL JET LOCATED OVER THE OH VALLEY
WHICH IS CREATING A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THIS SUGGESTS
SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE.
OTHERWISE...A HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD BE PRESENT
WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 06/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

38588516 38598598 38978664 39598692 40758657 41528497
41728356 41428294 40658251 39548303 38908387 

WWWW