[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 132322
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132321 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-140045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1335
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0621 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE KS/NW MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 475...

VALID 132321Z - 140045Z

...SEVERE THREAT MAY BE DIMINISHING AND WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED
EARLY...

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS FIELD ACROSS NRN MO HAS NOT
DEVELOPED INTO DEEPER CONVECTION. IT NOW APPEARS THAT ANY
PROBABILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE IN NRN SECTIONS OF WW. LATEST
RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS 80 KT JET AT AROUND 300 MB EXTENDING FROM DES
MOINES TO KANSAS CITY. THIS PLACES MUCH OF AREA SOUTH OF THE MAIN
JET AXIS. SINCE THE UPPER LOW IS NOW OVER ERN NEB/NW IA AND MOVING
NORTHEAST...THE STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE RAPIDLY MOVING
AWAY FROM NW MO.  IT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THAT STORMS WILL
DEVELOP...SO PORTIONS OF WATCH WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED EARLY.

..TAYLOR.. 06/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

39959272 39619502 40479501 40599237 

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