[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 130116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130116 
OKZ000-130315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1320
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0816 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 464...469...

VALID 130116Z - 130315Z

CONTINUE WWS TIL RESPECTIVE EXPIRATIONS.  

ONGOING VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...ACROSS/WEST SOUTHWEST OF
THE OKLAHOMA CITY AREA...MAY BE SLOW TO SHIFT EAST OF CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS
JUST NOW PROGRESSING INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST TEXAS...AND IS
ONLY PROGGED TO REACH THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR BY 06Z.  SLOWLY
VEERING 30+ KT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE WARM
ADVECTION AND LIFT OF MOIST UNSTABLE AIR ALONG STALLING FRONTAL ZONE
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN/CENTRAL/WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.  

GIVEN ORIENTATION OF FRONT RELATIVE TO NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND PRODUCING SQUALL LINE INTO SOUTHERN
MISSOURI/ARKANSAS APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING.  A FEW STRONG WIND
GUSTS WITH CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS STILL APPEAR POSSIBLE SOUTH/EAST OF
THE OKLAHOMA CITY AREA...BUT HEAVY RAIN/HAIL MAY BECOME PRIMARY
THREAT SHORTLY.

..KERR.. 06/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

34939947 35759945 36149826 36099755 36969665 36619472
35599456 34499628 34329756 34329824 

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