[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 112352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112352 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-120145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1302
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM...TX PNHDL...WRN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 460...462...

VALID 112352Z - 120145Z

CONTINUE WWS.

INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS...IS
BECOMING CLUSTERED NEAR AMARILLO.  THIS APPEARS TO BE NEAR
INTERSECTION OF DRY LINE AND REMNANT SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE
ASSOCIATED WITH OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER
MID-LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALREADY
APPEARS TO BE ENHANCING DEVELOPMENT...WITH EXPANDING CLUSTER OF
STORMS LIKELY NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  ISOLATED TORNADO/LARGE HAIL
THREAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH 01-02Z...BEFORE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS
BECOMES MORE PREDOMINANT.  SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF EVOLVING
CLUSTER OUT OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA WILL
OCCUR THIS EVENING...WHILE ADDITIONAL VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES ALONG LOW/MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING
INTO NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA/EXTREME SOUTHERN KANSAS.

..KERR.. 06/11/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

33530209 34340191 34910196 35040269 36120241 36400121
36819997 37509802 37639663 36259723 35589900 34800046
34060085 33310176