[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 100134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100134 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-100330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1269
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0834 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO/SRN NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445...

VALID 100134Z - 100330Z

THREAT FOR SVR WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS MAINLY
THE ERN HALF OF WW 445.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED INTO THE
50S OVER THE FRONT RANGE. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDING INDICATES THAT
SUFFICIENT MUCINH /50-100 J/KG/ NOW EXISTS THAT FURTHER SVR THREAT
OVER THE FRONT RANGE APPEARS LIMITED. CONVECTION THAT AIDED IN RAIN
COOLED AIR ALONG THE FRONT RANGE CONTINUES TO SHIFT EWD INTO THE
HIGH PLAINS. AIRMASS OVER THIS REGION WAS GRADUALLY STABILIZING.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A NARROW WINDOW THROUGH 03-04Z WHERE CONVECTION
MAY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO GREATER INSTABILITY /MUCAPES AROUND
1500 J/KG/ OVER NERN CO/SRN NEB PANHANDLE AS EVIDENT BY 00Z LBF
SOUNDING.

..CROSBIE.. 06/10/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

41420239 39180187 39120486 41010528 

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