[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 080043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080043 
MIZ000-WIZ000-MNZ000-080215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN...MUCH OF NRN/CENTRAL WI AND SWRN U.P OF MI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 427...430...

VALID 080043Z - 080215Z

THREAT FOR TORNADOES APPEARS TO BE WANING ACROSS WW 427 AS HIGH
LCL/S WERE PRESENT AND LINEAR MODE WAS BECOMING DOMINANT OVER
SCENTRAL/SERN MN. AS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BECOME
LINEAR...DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER THIS
AREA THROUGH WW EXPIRATION TIME /02Z/.

FARTHER EAST OVER NRN/CENTRAL WI AND FAR SWRN U.P OF MI...MORE
ISOLATED STORMS...LOWER LCL HEIGHTS AND MODERATE LOW LEVEL SHEAR PER
THE 00Z GRB SOUNDING INDICATE THAT THEIR REMAINS A THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS OVER MUCH OF WW 430.
HOWEVER...SEVERAL RECENT STORM MERGERS OVER WCENTRAL WI AND A 30-35
KT UNIDIRECTIONAL LOW-MID LEVEL SPEED PER THE 00Z MPX SOUNDING
SUGGESTS THAT CONVECTION MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO A LINEAR MODE
WITH A TRANSITION TO DAMAGING WIND THREAT AFTER 02Z.

..CROSBIE.. 06/08/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

45908712 45968927 45379134 44649302 43989407 43619430
43649276 43679177 43848778 

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