[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 070019
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070018 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-070145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1212
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0718 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/WEST TX INTO FAR SW KS/WRN OK/FAR NW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 419...

VALID 070018Z - 070145Z

VALID PORTION OF SEVERE WATCH 419 CONTINUES THROUGH 03Z. AN
ADDITIONAL/REPLACEMENT SEVERE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED BY 01Z INTO FAR SW
KS/WRN OK AND THE REMAINDER OF THE TX PANHANDLE/WEST TX.

DEVELOPING LINEAR CLUSTER OF MULTICELLS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CONTINUE
TO EVOLVE/PROPAGATE EWD AT 25-30 KTS ACROSS THE WRN TX
PANHANDLE/SOUTHWEST TX. VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS RESIDES DOWNSTREAM OF
THIS ACTIVITY PER 00Z DDC/AMA/MAF OBSERVED RAOBS...WITH MLCAPE ON
THE ORDER OF 2000-2500 J/KG OR GREATER. EASTWARD EXTENT OF SEVERE
THREAT EWD OUT OF WW 419 IS UNCLEAR GIVEN EVENTUAL LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING/LIMITED BACKGROUND DYNAMIC ASCENT. NEVERTHELESS DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY/MODEST LOW LEVEL JET AND EXISTENT COLD POOLS/FORWARD
PROPAGATION MAY SUPPORT CONTINUATION OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND
THREAT ENE INTO FAR SW KS/WRN OK AND THE REMAINDER OF WEST TX...SUCH
THAT AN ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON.

..GUYER.. 06/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...

36900398 38090029 37999941 36779890 33819922 31020112
30500265 30960403 31930454 

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