[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 062258
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062258 
KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-070030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1210
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN SD/WRN NEB/NW KS INTO CNTRL SD/CNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 420...

VALID 062258Z - 070030Z

TORNADO WATCH 420 CONTINUES THROUGH 04Z ACROSS WRN SD/WRN NEB/NW KS.
MONITORING TRENDS FOR ADDITIONAL WATCH INTO CNTRL SD/CNTRL NEB AND
POSSIBLY NCNTRL KS...WHICH MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 00Z-03Z.

ISOLD SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NW KS/WRN
NEB INTO WRN SD. AMBIENT AIRMASS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE...WITH
3000-3500 J/KG MLCAPE PER LATEST MESOANALYSIS/RUC SOUNDINGS.
SUPERCELLS WILL REMAIN PRIMARY MODE OWING TO DEGREE OF INSTABILITY
AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR...RANGING FROM 35-40 KTS
ACROSS WRN SD TO AROUND 30 KTS ACROSS NW KS. AS STORMS CONTINUALLY
MOVE INTO DEEPER MOISTURE AMIDST BACKED SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW...THREAT
FOR SUPERCELLS WILL REMAIN WITH PRIMARY HAZARD OF LARGE HAIL THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT MITIGATED BY HIGH CLOUD
BASES/MODEST LOW LEVEL SHEAR...RELATIVELY GREATEST THREAT FOR ISOLD
TORNADOES SEEMINGLY EXISTS FROM WCNTRL/NCNTRL NEB INTO WRN SD.

..GUYER.. 06/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...ABR...GID...LBF...DDC...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

45830270 45230036 42449819 39369784 38919971 38910181
42870341 45370385 

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