[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060005
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060005 
MIZ000-WIZ000-060130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0705 PM CDT SUN JUN 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WI/U.P. OF MICHIGAN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 407...

VALID 060005Z - 060130Z

PRIMARY THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS/ISOLD TORNADOES CONTINUES TO SHIFT
EWD ACROSS THE ERN PORTION OF WW 407 ACROSS ERN WI/U.P. OF MICH.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS FOR NECESSITY OF ADDITIONAL WATCH
ACROSS U.P. OF MICH DOWNSTREAM OF WW 407...WHICH COULD BE NEEDED BY
01Z.

ALTHOUGH A FEW EMBEDDED LEWP TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE GIVEN
SLIGHTLY BACKED FLOW/25 KTS OF 0-1 KM SHEAR PER GRB WSR-88D VAD...
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH LINEAR CLUSTERS
CURRENTLY MOVING ENE AT 35-40 KTS ACROSS ERN WI/WRN U.P. OF MICH.
SCENARIO SUPPORTED BY AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH
MAGNITUDE OF SWLY WINDS OF 40 KTS OR GREATER ABOVE 1 KM...REF BLUE
RIVER WI PROFILER AND AREA WSR-88D VADS. ALTHOUGH SEEMINGLY LESS
QUALITY AIRMASS EXISTS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE ERN U.P. OF MICH...WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL WW
ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 06/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...

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